One of the good things about ICM's polls for The Guardian is that they put a breakdown of the results online (it's in Excel format). The 'headline' voting intention figures (Labour 38%, Conservatives 34%, Lib Dems 21%, Others 7%) continue the trend of all the recent polls with Labour in the high thirties, the Tories in the mid-to-low thirties, Lib Dems in the low twenties and others in the mid-to-high single digits. Labour have lost support from the last election, but it's mostly gone to the Lib Dems and others, with the Tories not making any significant gains.
However, some of the other questions they asked add some depth to those figures. Firstly, they asked 'are you satisfied or unsatisfied with the job Blair/Smith/Kennedy are doing as leader of their party?':
On other questions, Blair gets negative scores for his handling of 'European and international affairs' (-15%) and 'domestic UK issues like health, education and law and order' (-27%) while the replacement of the Lord Chancellor with the Department of Constitutional Affairs elicits a big shrug of the shoulders and a 'dunno, guv' response (17% in favour, 18% against, 65% no opinion)
Finally, the poll also included the question 'From everything you have seen and heard, do you think the military attack on Iraq to remove Saddam Hussein was justified or unjustified?'. Overall, 48% thought it was justified, 40% unjustified:
Finally, looking at the breakdown of respondents by age/sex/region etc there are some interesting discoveries to be made:
Anyway, hope that was of interest to people. Unfortunately, it didn't have the one breakdown I really wanted - how the 'others' section breaks down. There's been growth in the people saying they'd vote for 'others', but I'm interested in seeing if this just a general trend towards the minor parties, or if it reflects dynamic growth for one or two of them. If anyone's seen any figures covering this recently, please let me know as I'd especially like to see what share of the vote the Greens, UKIP, SSP and BNP are getting.
However, some of the other questions they asked add some depth to those figures. Firstly, they asked 'are you satisfied or unsatisfied with the job Blair/Smith/Kennedy are doing as leader of their party?':
On other questions, Blair gets negative scores for his handling of 'European and international affairs' (-15%) and 'domestic UK issues like health, education and law and order' (-27%) while the replacement of the Lord Chancellor with the Department of Constitutional Affairs elicits a big shrug of the shoulders and a 'dunno, guv' response (17% in favour, 18% against, 65% no opinion)
Finally, the poll also included the question 'From everything you have seen and heard, do you think the military attack on Iraq to remove Saddam Hussein was justified or unjustified?'. Overall, 48% thought it was justified, 40% unjustified:
Finally, looking at the breakdown of respondents by age/sex/region etc there are some interesting discoveries to be made:
Anyway, hope that was of interest to people. Unfortunately, it didn't have the one breakdown I really wanted - how the 'others' section breaks down. There's been growth in the people saying they'd vote for 'others', but I'm interested in seeing if this just a general trend towards the minor parties, or if it reflects dynamic growth for one or two of them. If anyone's seen any figures covering this recently, please let me know as I'd especially like to see what share of the vote the Greens, UKIP, SSP and BNP are getting.



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