Polling update

New poll by MORI for the Independent on Sunday today - the main headlines are about Howard's performance, which is the worst he's had since becoming Tory leader. On voting intention for a General Election the figures were: Labour 32%, Conservative 31%, Lib Dems 24%, Others 13% - no up or down indications on the article and no breakdown of the 'others'. I'll leave detailed analysis to Anthony as he's due back to blogging this week but his swing calculator gives Labour 340 seats, Conservatives 202 and Liberal Democrats 72. Martin Baxter's site gives figures of Labour 346, Conservative 206, and Lib Dems 63.