Counterfactuals

A couple of ‘what if’ questions that I’ve been pondering on.

1) After Ming Campbell resigned as leader in 2007, what if the Lib Dem Federal Executive had decided to delay the election of a new leader for a couple of months? (Perhaps someone mentions a possible problem with the Christmas post…) Would Vince Cable’s performance as acting leader encourage him to go ahead and stand? Would he win?

2) Either as a result of number 1, or some other reason, what if the last general election had delivered a stable Labour-Lib Dem coalition government? What’s the shape of that Government and how has it affected the Lib Dems? Would someone have set up a Liberal Right organisation by now, or might some people have just jumped ship straight to the Tories?

I have thoughts on how they might go, but what do you think?